Bitcoin (BTC) stayed below $26,000 into the Sep. 3 weekly close as analysis brushed off overly bearish trader sentiment.
BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
BTC price weekly close puts $25,900 in focus
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price avoiding volatility over the weekend, operating in a tight $200 range.
An absence of direction provided a solid sense of deja vu for market participants, with similar behavior seen toward the August monthly close.
With all traces of last week’s two volatility events — involving crypto asset manager Grayscale and United States regulators — erased from the charts, traders weighed the impact of various potential weekly close levels.
“In terms of market structure, yet to see a candle body close below June HL or $25.9K,” popular trader Skew wrote in part of an X (formerly Twitter) thread.
Skew referenced a higher low (HL) below $25,000, with $25,900 as the key line in the sand to reclaim this week.
“This is important because if 1W close is below and price trades this area as resistance early into next week, That would imply a move lower towards previous 1W resistance ~ $24.3K,” he added.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Skew/X
Looking further ahead, a “bearish scenario” could put sub-$20,000 levels back in play. A bullish revival, involving a reclaim of $26,000 and continuation for a Q4 higher low, was “less likely,” Skew predicted.
Bitcoin “bearadise” threat remains
Summarizing last week’s events, Keith Alan, co-founder of monitoring resource Material Indicators, cautioned over categorical pronouncements on how bullish or bearish Bitcoin really is.
Related: Bitcoin lines up RSI showdown as BTC price slips toward new 2-week low
Volatility up and down, respectively, had come from Grayscale’s legal victory over the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), followed by the latter’s delaying a decision on the first U.S. Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Under the hood, however, Bitcoin market structure has not undergone any fundamental overhaul, Alan argued.
“On the the first day of the September Monthly candle…