Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed $41,000 on April 14 as the first day of Western stock market trading after Easter painted a more bullish picture.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
Analysis calls for caution on BTC
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD spiking above $41,000 during April 19, reaching five-day highs on Bitstamp.
In a refreshing change to the gloomy atmosphere over the holiday period, the largest cryptocurrency began to copy what gold had achieved days prior, the latter since declining from $1,998 to $1,960 per ounce at the time of writing.
XAU/USD 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView
Equally energized, however, was the U.S. dollar, which continued cementing its strength in an ongoing potential headwind for BTC.
The U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) remained above the crucial 100 mark on the day, with analysts previously predicting that its next move would be a make-or-break moment for crypto.
U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView
As crypto sentiment exited “extreme fear,” monitoring resource Material Indicators nonetheless called for a level-headed appraisal of BTC price action.
Several moving averages, it said on April 19, needed to be reclaimed before the outlook could fundamentally change.
Before you get too excited about yesterday’s #Bitcoin PA, remind yourself that bulls need to reclaim these key moving averages to validate a trend reversal. To avoid potential bull trap, watch for volume and wait for confirmations. https://t.co/26BLOFwenL pic.twitter.com/r219S4YYCv
— Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) April 19, 2022
On April 18, however, the account acknowledged the “bullish” nature of the current chart setup.
Pundit pins hopes on RSI bull trigger
In a now rare bull flag from the stock market, meanwhile, the S&P 500 posted a bottom signal on April 19, which has historically spurred BTC price gains.
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