Bitcoin price has struggled to hold on to crucial support at $64,800 a few days after completing its fourth halving on April 20.
Meanwhile, altcoins, led by memecoins and layer-1 cryptocurrencies, have outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) over the last week, leaving market participants wondering whether the altcoin season, or altseason, is here.
An altseason typically refers to a crypto market phase where altcoins surge in value to often outperform BTC.
On April 24, trader and analyst Moustache observed that TOTAL2 — the total market cap of altcoins — had completed the ABC-correction phases of the Wyckoff method and was in the middle of a breakout.
Crypto investors have been eagerly waiting for altcoins to start moving higher because they provide higher risk-to-reward returns.
Altcoin market capitalization. Source: Moustache
In an earlier X post on April 23, the analyst observed that TOTAL2 had escaped from a falling wedge on the monthly chart, repeating a similar setup seen during the 2020–2021 market cycle.
Source: Moustache
Also looking at TOTAL2, entrepreneur and crypto investor Lark Davis observed that the altcoin market cap had reclaimed key support provided by the 50-day exponential moving average.
Related: Technical charts suggest a roaring altseason may be just ahead: Analysts
Although this crucial support was since lost at the Wall Street open on April 24, a bullish cross from the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator suggested that the altcoins were ready for a move higher.
Davis said:
“With a bullish MACD crossover, it could be on the brink of something big.”Altcoin market capitalization. Source: TradingView
However, it’s not time to celebrate yet. Following highs in mid-March, most altcoins have corrected. BTC remains 12% below its all-time high above $73,800, with the flash crash on April 24 threatening to take it below the $65,000 level.
Analyst Daan Crypto Trades said the sentiment toward altcoins is “pretty low,” adding, “People are getting pessimistic about ever seeing an altseason at all.”
The performance of the altcoins seemingly coincides with a decline in the altcoin…
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