
Bitcoin (BTC) whale buying and selling in 2023 is mostly from speculative investors, new data reveals.
In the latest edition of its weekly newsletter, “The Week On-Chain,” analytics firm Glassnode shows that contrary to popular belief, opportunistic entities are the most active whales.
The birth of the Bitcoin “short-term holder” whale
Since BTC price action returned to $30,000, a shift has taken place among Bitcoin traders.
As Glassnode shows, so-called short-term holders (STHs) — investors holding coins for a maximum of 155 days — have become significantly more common.
As it turns out, the largest-volume investor cohort, the whales, is also composed of large numbers of STHs.
“Short-Term Holder Dominance across Exchange Inflows has exploded to 82%, which is now drastically above the long-term range over the last five years (typically 55% to 65%),” Glassnode states.
“From this, we can establish a case that much of the recent trading activity is driven by Whales active within the 2023 market (and thus classified as STHs).”Bitcoin short-term holders dominance of exchange inflows (screenshot). Source: Glassnode
Interest in trading short-timeframe moves on BTC/USD was already evident before May. Since the FTX meltdown in late 2022, speculators have been increasingly eager to tap volatility both up and down.
The results have been mixed: Realized profits and losses have routinely spiked in line with volatile price moves.
“If we look at the degree of Profit/Loss realized by Short-Term Holder volume flowing into exchanges, it becomes evident that these newer investors are trading local market conditions,” Glassnode continues.
“Each rally and correction since the FTX fallout has seen a 10k+ BTC uptick in STH profit or loss, respectively.” Bitcoin short-term holder profit-loss to exchanges (screenshot). Source: Glassnode
Whales show “elevated inflow bias” to exchanges
Closer to the present, whales have ramped up exchange activity, at one point in July accounting for 41% of total inflows.
Bitcoin whale-to-exchanges inflows (screenshot). Source: Glassnode
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